To Trade or Not to Trade

Why it might pay to follow the Nick Train mantra of “if in doubt, do nothing”

Photo by Artem Beliaikin

We’ve been hearing a lot of late about buying the dip (aka BTFD), displacing sell the rip as the prevailing mood. Fintwit is awash with people calling the bottom, suggesting that, after 8 weeks of falling – or, as some like to put it, oversold - markets and 1 week of gains, the bear market is over.

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Brazil: riding the commodities wave

The South American emerging market is, as ever, beset with political issues. But, as economist Christine Shields notes, investors shouldn’t ignore its vast commodity wealth

Photo by Raphael Nogueira

Brazil, as a major commodity producer, stands to gain from the war in Ukraine. Not only are commodity prices rising substantially, but also demand for commodities from non-Russian sources is much higher.

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Retail: buy, hold, and lose

It’s hard picking long-term winners in the ever-changing retail sector

Photo by the blowup

Britain’s high streets are in a sorry state. A short walk around Norwich city centre a few weeks ago revealed a rather grim picture of an otherwise ancient and splendid City – several thousand square feet of vacant Top Shop, another few thousand square feet of vacant Debenhams and a plethora of smaller shops, bars and restaurants long boarded up.

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Bouncing back

A quick look at ways to assess a company’s recovery prospects

Photo by Martin Sanchez

Life is messy, a truism that applies to companies as much as it does to people. For one reason or another, things can and do go wrong, even to the most organised people or best run companies.

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Investability portfolio update: a cruel April

The portfolios stood up relatively well in tough markets – but some holdings need slicing

Photo by Joshua Woroniecki

I’m not sure why TS Eliot thought that April was the cruellest month. A Lloyds banker by trade, the poet will have been well aware that stock markets generally do quite well in April, and that it is only in May that investors should consider selling up and going away until the St Leger’s Day horse race in early September.

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India: when will the next Asian Tiger awake?

Country risk specialist Christine Shield explains why investors should treat tales of India's untapped opportunity with caution

Photo by Raghu Nayyar

India has long been seen as a land of opportunity - hugely populated, with favourable demographics, and with a long climb to lift many of its 1.4bn people out of poverty. Yet somehow it never quite reaches its full potential.

Will it now do so and finally overcome a host of structural shortcomings? Will its political ambivalence over the Ukraine war turn the west against it so that yet another opportunity is missed? Or will it be some mix of the two?

Here we explore the latest economic situation and attempt to look ahead into the medium and longer term.

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