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Tag: ukraine
Investability weekly 29/03/22: Beware the Bear
Why the market’s recent bounce may not last
The bear market rally – my view, not necessarily shared by all - continued this week, although not all markets rallied at quite the same pace. Leading the charge was the Nasdaq, where the big boys including Tesla, Apple and Nvidia did some heavy lifting and led US stock market broadcaster Jim Cramer to declare that “the bear market is over”. I think we all know what a Jim Cramer prediction usually means, though…
Investability bulletin 29/03/22: Upside Down
Risk assets are shrugging off signs of recession
Inversion…the US 5-year Treasury yield briefly rose above that of the 30-year bond for the first time since 2006. Rates today are steady with the US 10yr under 2.5%, … Read more
Markets this week: 28/03/22
The big news and numbers to look out for in the week ahead
European stocks are higher out of the gate on Monday. Ukraine sounded ready to make a number of concessions to call off the … Read more
Investability bulletin 24/03/22: Confidence Shaken
Consumer and business confidence is crumbling across Europe
EU consumer confidence has tumbled due to the war in Ukraine, while clearly inflation is the big kitchen table worry. PMIs this morning point to surging input cost … Read more
Investability bulletin 21/03/22: Spring surprises
The sun is shining, but there could be more economic darkness ahead
After a strong week for global stock markets, there’s a tepid start to trade early on Monday. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is starting to … Read more
The Ukraine war: an industrial squeeze
Christine Shields explores the conflict's less publised economic effects on global industry
In our two previous pieces on the impact of the war we looked at oil and gas first, then food. We mentioned the sharp surge in nickel prices that necessitated trading to be suspended. Other metals have also jumped sharply in price and some supply problems are causing firms to pull out of specific sectors.
The Ukraine War: Commodity contagion
Christine Shields explains how the war in Ukraine could pre-empt a wider political crisis
Our previous piece examined the price implications of higher oil and gas prices resulting from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Here we look at the wider consequences on food supply and manufacturing as well as touching on some longer term political risk issues.
The economics of the war in Ukraine
Country risk specialist Christine Shields weighs up the longer-term economic impacts of the Ukraine war in this three-part series
Russia’s late February invasion of Ukraine has shocked the world. Not only is the human cost vast, but so are the economic implications. Sanctions are squeezing Russia’s economy and the fortunes of its overseas oligarchs. The consequences for the rest of the world will also be painful. So interdependent now is the world that few places will be immune. Here we take a look at some of the implications of this crisis.
Investability weekly 14/03/22: Hunger Strikes
Rising energy bills are soon to be followed by higher food prices – and the squeeze on living standards may hit the market hard
One hardly knows where to start looking when trying to weigh up the market right now. To pilfer the insights of John Lennon, “The more I see, the less I know for sure.” I guess that’s always true of markets to a certain extent, but now more so than ever it seems.